Wednesday, October 21, 2015

TEAMPSIC Blog Wednesday 10/21/15

Sports Investors,

Our one soccer game yesterday was a push.  We had the handicap line and the game ended a tie.  That brings up the obvious question of why didn't we play it the normal way and that 2-2 tie would have been a win for us?   That is correct, however, we want to have a positive expectation on the outcome without too much RISK vs REWARD.

Let's look at that match as an example.  Our team was only +145 and the draw +225 so if we risk $60 on the Side and $40 on the draw.  If our side hits it's $87 for the win -$40 for the other half of our dutch and we profit $47.  In this case the Draw hit which would have paid $90 - $60 for our other dutch wager and we'd have made $30.  So to have $100 at risk to make $47 or $30 is not acceptable.  That's like laying a -200 favorite and those of you who ARE members of TEAMPSIC know all well that I'd never do that.  So, by playing the handicap line our expectation is this.....of ever 10 handicap plays our team should win 5, Draw 2, lose 3...and those are worst case scenarios.   We should profit 2-3 units for every 10 handicap plays we have with a much better RISK vs RETURN.

There are no qualifying soccer plays today.  However, I don't want the degenerate gambler in you to go unsatisfied so I've posted some races from Keenland for your gambling pleasure.

TEAMPSIC Horses - Keenland

Race 2: 4,3  Exacta 1,6 OVER 4,3
Race 3: 8,9
Race 4: 2,9
Race 5: 5,9
Race 6: 5
Race 7: 7,8
Race 8: 2,10  Bombs away trifecta 2,6,7 / 1,2,6,7,10 / ALL


TEAMPSIC New Soccer Program Test (44-22) +$1,385

No qualifying plays


To your success,

Tod Wilkinson 

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