Sharp Action Questions, Dog of the Day

Sports Investors,

One of the questions I get a lot is what exactly are "sharp" players.  I think the term sharp it's misused so much mostly by Sports handicappers who wouldn't know a sharp play if it bit them in the face.  "Sharp" players in Las Vegas are simply defined as those that the Sportsbook respect their opinion enough to take notice when they play. There are not a lot of people that these words with managers will take notice if they play.

I think there's also a misconception of what kind of win % sharp players will hit.
Billy Walters is probably considered the sharpest player in Las Vegas and he hits about 56 to 58%. The next time you hear that radio and for some guy who says he has the lock of the year or is hitting 80% winners please , do yourself a favor and run the other way.

Another thing to understand is that sharp Bettors don't always win. In the NHL since the lockout three to four years years ago the sharp players are getting absolutely killed in NHL and many of them don't even play hockey anymore.  That was some people includes myself. I used to do fairly well in hockey but something has changed something in the dynamic has changed and I guess maybe the sharp players aren't necessarily losing but the sharp players are backing the favorites an awful lot more because the favorites are winning and a record clip.  Most of the time the sharpest players will always take points or moneyline advantage. I mean after all if you're going to spend all the hours doing research you want every Advantage you can get so you don't want to lay -130 you want to take + 120.

And the dynamic between the sharp players and the sports books , especially in Vegas, is kind of a love-hate relationship the Sportsbook managers actually like the sharp players because 85% of the time they're taking the very unpopular sign an evening out some of their books. However they always have to guard against a line that's going to drop both groups to have the same side.  The more money the public baths unusually the favorite means the more money the sports books will let the sharp players grab on the opposite side.

In NHL it's not surprising if the sharp players are only hitting 45% of their bets. If you think about it if they're average winner is about + 140 that's still extremely profitable. That's definitely a case where records can be extremely this evening.  You see a lot of misleading things especially in baseball and hockey season wear a handicapping will say he's hitting 70% winners. What he won't tell you is that his average play is at -220 and he's actually losing money at 70% winners. If I told you I'm going to win 50% of my bets and you're going to make a hundred units this year, some people would actually stop at the 50% and think that's not very good but it's all relative to the lines that you get.

Today we have one play and it has attracted the most sharp money but it is not a dog but rather a small favorite

TeamPSIC Sharp Action Dog Of The Day(2-4)
10-10-10-10-20-30-30-30
Bet To WIn 30

11/19- NHL - Edmonton -115
            

To your success,

Tod Wilkinson

Overall Results -2.3 UNITS

11/19- NHL Vancouver +130 -LOSS
11/19- NHL Toronto +140 - LOSS
11/18- NBA Detroit +8.5 - LOSS
11/17- NHL Buffalo +130 - LOSS
11/16- NBA Dallas +8 - WIN
11/15- NHL Florida +130 - WIN