Wednesday, February 17, 2016

TeamPSIC 2/17/16

Sports Investors,

Another very nice underdog winner!  Illinois Chicago almost pulled off the outright upset!  That brings me to answer another of the frequent questions I get.  Tod, whats  your philosiphy?  

Our philosiphy on TeamPSIC is very simple.  We don't often play favorites, and we NEVER, EVER, EVER lay big juice.  So, for example, in a sport like MLB we will lay up to -150...maybe -160 but that is the tops.  If i like a team that much and they are -165 or more I'm going to play them at -1 or -1.5.   It's not worth it to lay big money because you're just one shitty closer away from winning the whole game then losing.  Speaking of favorites, we hit 63% in NFL documented at the handicappers watchdog, and I think we played 2 favorites ALL YEAR!   People ALWAYS tell me that well Tod, the team is favored for a reason.  You're right, they are favored for a reason.  The reason is that vegas knows most people are suckers and are going to bet emotionally so they make teams favored often by what they KNOW you'll bet.  It has little to do with who's better and that's especially true on tight lined games.  If we do our homework we can find those scenarios where we get points AND have a team with a legit shot to win outright!

COMPLEMENTARY PLAYS:   We had no premium plays last night so nothing to report there.  So on the comp play side I'd love to go with another NCAA basketball game but honestly I'd be just throwing a dart.  Even though this is a comp play, I expect to win just like with our premium plays so we will go to soccer today and actually be forced to lay about as much juice as we are willing to accept.  Our match today is from Ecuador and so there aren't a lot of line options for our underdog and the DRAW is paying too little for us to dutch so we will simply take +.5 a goal.



TEAMPSIC SOCCER AND SPORTS
COMP PLAY PROGRAM  (73-41-1 +$2840)

SOCCER $100 WIN: ECUADOR - Mushuc Runa +.5 (-150)

To your success,

Tod Wilkinson

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