Thursday, August 2, 2012

Trade Deadline and Dog Days

Hello Everyone,

This is always a very interesting time of the year.  First you have the trade deadline which in the past may have had some more activity.  However, this season with the ADDITIONAL wild card teams, there are clubs who in the past would have been sellers but now are holding their players or ADDING players.

Second, you have to quickly judge how effective pitchers will be that switch leagues.  Normally, pitchers that come from the National League and are traded to the A. L. are often in for a rude awakening at some of the insane lineups in the AL and the fact you don't have the pitcher batting.

Finally, during these dog days you need to get a feel for what hot teams will fade and who will continue on.
For example.....The Oakland A's have been baseballs hottest team along with the Angels.  If you think Oakland can continue, they will be a good value for sure for the remainder of the season.  OR  Is now the time to start Fading Oakland knowing the just can't keep it up.    Those are the questions that make the dog days tough to handicap.

So where do you find those clues?   A good start is look at a teams record in 1 run games.  If a team is 18-3 on the season in 1 run games, it is doubtful that they can continue that kind of record.  They are more likely to fall more toward the league average.   Clue #2.  Of the "HOT" teams, who's got the best bullpen, bullpen ERA, and closer.  Clue #3 Of the "HOT" teams who has the best offense.  

If you put all the pieces together, for this season I think if Zach Greienke can make the transition to the AL, the Angels have all the components to keep their run going.   I know Oakland's pitching staff is pitching out of their minds, but that WILL change.  They won't have 5 guys with 2.5 ERA's  for the rest of the season and if their pitching fails, they don't have the lineup to make up for it so in my opinion...they're a nice story but the Angels are better.   In the NL I DO thing Pittsburgh stays in the race.  They have the pitching and the hitting to get the job done.

Remember, systems are just guidelines.  You have to use some common sense.  I know that yesterday there were more people looking for a Tall building as the LA Dodgers got swept at home by Arizona.  However, if you look at the pitching matchups and injuries..that shouldn't have been a big shock. .

Ok, time for the Platinum Sports Investing Free Play Dog of the Day.   To make sure you get the play every day be sure to visit our website and register for free.!

8/2/2012 - Washington Nationals + 105




To your success,

Tod Wilkinson
@teampsic
www.platinumsportsinvesting.com




HERE ARE OUR PREVIOUS "DOG OF THE DAY" SELECTIONS
(9-6)


8/02/2012 - WASHINGTON NATIONALS +105 
8/01/2012 - DETROIT TIGERS +105 - WIN
7/31/2012 - TORONTO +115 - LOSS
7/30/2012 - NO QUALIFYING FREE PLAY TODAY
7/29/2012 - FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA: TPS TURKU +116 - LOSS
7/28/2012 - OAKLAND ATHLETICS +105 - WIN
7/27/2012 - CORK CITY / SHAMROCK ROVERS DRAW +230 - LOSS
7/26/2012 - WASHINGTON NATIONALS +120 - WIN
7/25/2012 - LA DODGERS +140 - LOSS
7/24/2012 - NO FREE PICK TODAY
7/23/2012 - ATLANTA BRAVES +110 - LOSS
7/22/2012 - BRAZIL CAMPEONATO - FLUMINENSE +140 - WIN
7/21/2012 - MIAMI MARLINS +140 - LOSS
7/20/2012 - BALTIMORE +120 - WIN
7/19/2012 - OAKLAND +105 - WIN
7/18/2012 - BALTIMORE ORIOLES +150 - WIN
7/17/2012 - SEATTLE MARINERS +125 - WIN
7/16/2012 - CLEVELAND INDIANS +120 - WIN

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